pt. 1. Two systems. The characters of the story
Norms, surprises, and causes
A machine for jumping to conclusions
Answering an easier question. pt. 2. Heuristics and biases. The law of small numbers
The science of availability
Availability, emotion, and risk
Taming intuitive predictions. pt. 3. Overconfidence. The illusion of understanding
Expert intuition : when can we trust it?
The engine of capitalism. pt. 4. Choices. Bernoulli's errors
Frames and reality. pt. 5. Two selves. Two selves
From the Book - First paperback edition.
Two Systems. The characters of the story ; Attention and effort ; The lazy controller ; The associative machine ; Cognitive ease ; Norms, surprises, and causes ; A machine for jumping to conclusions ; How judgments happen ; Answering an easier question
Heuristics and Biases. The law of small numbers ; Anchors ; The science of availability ; Availability, emotion, and risk ; Tom W's specialty ; Linda: less is more ; Causes trump statistics ; Regression to the mean ; Taming intuitive predictions
Overconfidence. The illusion of understanding ; The illusion of validity ; Intuitions vs. formulas ; Expert intuition: when can we trust it? ; The outside view ; The engine of capitalism
Choices. Bernoulli's errors ; Prospect theory ; The endowment effect ; Bad events ; The fourfold pattern ; Rare events ; Risk policies ; Keeping score ; Reversals ; Frames and reality
Two Selves. Two selves ; Life as a story ; Experienced well-being ; Thinking about life
Judgment under uncertainty
Choices, values, and frames.